Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.001019 0.001154 0.001296 0.001457 0.001633 0.001819 0.002031
2024-12-15 0.000763 0.000945 0.001149 0.001394 0.001679 0.001997 0.002377
2024-12-22 0.000635 0.000835 0.001070 0.001364 0.001718 0.002126 0.002630
2024-12-29 0.000547 0.000760 0.001021 0.001358 0.001777 0.002274 0.002903
2025-01-05 0.000482 0.000703 0.000984 0.001357 0.001834 0.002414 0.003164
2025-01-12 0.000422 0.000646 0.000939 0.001341 0.001868 0.002522 0.003383
2025-01-19 0.000368 0.000591 0.000892 0.001317 0.001885 0.002606 0.003572
2025-01-26 0.000340 0.000569 0.000886 0.001344 0.001968 0.002774 0.003868
2025-02-02 0.000314 0.000546 0.000877 0.001365 0.002043 0.002930 0.004153
2025-02-09 0.000279 0.000506 0.000840 0.001343 0.002057 0.003006 0.004332
2025-02-16 0.000247 0.000468 0.000802 0.001317 0.002063 0.003069 0.004493
2025-02-23 0.000229 0.000450 0.000793 0.001332 0.002124 0.003207 0.004757
2025-03-02 0.000212 0.000433 0.000785 0.001349 0.002190 0.003355 0.005040
2025-03-09 0.000186 0.000398 0.000745 0.001315 0.002182 0.003399 0.005182
2025-03-16 0.000162 0.000364 0.000705 0.001279 0.002166 0.003431 0.005306
2025-03-23 0.000147 0.000345 0.000688 0.001275 0.002199 0.003531 0.005526
2025-03-30 0.000134 0.000328 0.000672 0.001274 0.002233 0.003635 0.005751
2025-04-06 0.000120 0.000307 0.000649 0.001259 0.002246 0.003706 0.005932
2025-04-13 0.000107 0.000285 0.000622 0.001235 0.002244 0.003754 0.006078
2025-04-20 0.000101 0.000280 0.000624 0.001261 0.002320 0.003918 0.006397
2025-04-27 0.000095 0.000273 0.000624 0.001281 0.002388 0.004071 0.006701
2025-05-04 0.000085 0.000255 0.000600 0.001261 0.002388 0.004123 0.006856
2025-05-11 0.000075 0.000237 0.000576 0.001236 0.002381 0.004162 0.006992